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Why David Tepper-Founded Appaloosa Is Betting Big on American Airlines Stock

为什么大卫·泰珀创立的阿帕卢萨公司大举押注美国航空股票

Barchart 美股 🕐 2026-08-18 12:20

由大卫·泰珀 (David Tepper) 和杰克·沃尔顿 (Jack Walton) 创立的对冲基金阿帕卢萨管理公司 (Appaloosa Management) 在美国航空集团 (AAL) 获得新职位后,美国航空集团 (AAL) 重新成为人们关注的焦点。

据阿帕卢萨称,美国航空的需求持续强劲,在最新的季度报告中公布了创纪录的收入,但这种势头被利润的急剧挤压所掩盖。

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尽管美国航空已成功提高票价以抵消部分燃油成本压力,但持续上涨的燃油价格仍然是该公司和更广泛的航空公司的主要障碍。

美国航空是连接美国与世界各地目的地的主要全球航空公司。

它的历史可以追溯到 1926 年,当时它是美国中西部的一家航空邮件承运商。

到 2026 年,美国航空将迎来百年华诞,这一里程碑反映了整个航空业一个世纪的变革和创新。

几十年来,该公司推出的第一只市值为 95.5 亿美元的美国航空股票经历了坎坷的旅程,并继续落后于大盘。

AAL 在过去一年中实现了 7.33% 的小幅上涨,但美国航空 (American Airlines) 的季度业绩表面上看起来令人印象深刻,但一旦成本成为焦点,就变得更难以消化。

J 发布的 2026 财年第二季度收益报告中的数据显示,强劲的需求依然存在。

高端旅行继续领跑,旅客单位收入同比增长 13.4%,经济舱旅客单位收入增长 商务旅行尤其具有弹性,美国航空管理的企业收入同比增长 26%。

但有一个重大问题。

收入的增加并没有转化为强劲的 GAAP 每股收益从去年同期的 0.91 美元跌至 0.11 美元,而调整后的每股收益从 0.95 美元跌至 0.15 美元。

尽管如此,调整后的数字仍轻松超过了华尔街 0.05 美元的普遍预期。

然而,投资者对整体收入增长的印象却远没有那么深刻。

美国航空 (American Airlines) 的股价在财报发布后下跌 8.35%,原因是注意力迅速转向该公司,但华尔街仍普遍看好美国航空 (AAL),该公司的评级为“适度买入”。

在研究该股票的 24 名分析师中,12 名分析师建议“强力买入”,11 名分析师倾向于“适度买入” 截至发布之日,Anushka Mukherji 没有(直接或间接)持有任何证券的头寸

📜 英文原文 (点击展开)

American Airlines Group (AAL) is back in the spotlight after Appaloosa Management, the hedge fund founded by David Tepper and Jack Walton, took a new position in the airline. According to Appaloosa's latest 13F filing, the firm purchased 7.5 million shares of American Airlines during the second quarter of 2026, signaling renewed interest in a stock that has had a turbulent ride so far this year.

American Airlines has continued to see strong demand, posting record-breaking revenue in its latest quarterly report, but that momentum has been overshadowed by a sharp squeeze on profits. Soaring global jet fuel prices, combined with broader macroeconomic pressures, have weighed heavily on the company's bottom line and kept the stock volatile throughout 2026.

While American Airlines has managed to push fares higher to offset some of the fuel-cost pressure, persistently elevated fuel prices remain a major obstacle for the company and the broader airline industry. That makes Appaloosa's new position particularly notable and could signal that the hedge fund sees value in AAL despite the near-term challenges. So here's a closer look at AAL stock and the conditions that could shape its next move.

American Airlines is a major global carrier connecting the United States with destinations around the world. Its roots date back to 1926, when it began as an air mail carrier in the Midwestern U.S. Today, American Airlines operates more than 6,000 daily flights to over 350 destinations across more than 60 countries, serving more than 200 million customers each year. Its operations are supported by a workforce of approximately 130,000 aviation professionals.

In 2026, American Airlines is marking its centennial year, a milestone that reflects a century of changes and innovation across the airline industry. Over the decades, the company introduced the first scheduled air cargo service, the first airport lounge and the first airline loyalty program, while continuing to evolve its customer experience. American Airlines is also a founding member of the oneworld alliance, whose member airlines collectively serve more than 900 destinations worldwide.

With a market capitalization of $9.55 billion, American Airlines stock has had a bumpy ride and continues to lag the broader market. AAL has managed a modest 7.33% gain over the past year, but the stock is down 7.8% so far in 2026. By comparison, the S&P 500 Index ($SPX) has climbed an impressive 19.44% over the past year and gained another 12.5% in 2026. The recent pullback has been even sharper. American Airlines shares reached a 52-week high of $18.79 in early July but have since fallen 25.1% from that peak.

American Airlines delivered a quarter that looked impressive on the surface but became much harder to digest once costs came into focus. In its fiscal 2026 second-quarter earnings report released on July 23, American Airlines posted a record $16.74 billion in revenue, up 16.3% year-over-year (YOY) and marking the highest quarterly revenue in the airline's history. The strong top-line performance reflected solid demand across all four of American Airlines' commercial pillars and came in slightly above Wall Street's $16.71 billion consensus estimate.

A closer look at the numbers shows that strong demand remained. Premium travel continued to lead the way, with passenger unit revenue rising 13.4% YOY, while Main Cabin passenger unit revenue increased 8.8%. Domestic demand also rebounded strongly, with passenger unit revenue climbing 10.6%. International operations delivered another bright spot, with passenger unit revenue increasing 8.9% in the Atlantic, 15.1% in the Pacific and 6.6% in Latin America.

Business travel was particularly resilient, with American Airlines' managed corporate revenue jumping 26% from a year earlier. But there was a major catch. Higher revenue did not translate into stronger profits. American Airlines' fuel expense surged by more than $2.2 billion, or 83%, YOY, creating a significant drag on earnings. The airline managed to offset nearly half of that fuel-cost headwind through higher fares and strong demand, but the remaining pressure still hit the bottom line hard.

GAAP EPS plunged to $0.11 from $0.91 in the year-ago quarter, while adjusted EPS fell to $0.15 from $0.95. Still, the adjusted figure comfortably beat Wall Street's $0.05 consensus estimate. American Airlines also ended the quarter with $11.3 billion in total available liquidity, giving the carrier a stronger financial cushion as it navigates elevated costs and a challenging operating environment.

However, investors were far less impressed by the headline revenue growth. American Airlines shares fell 8.35% following the earnings release, as attention quickly shifted toward the company's cautious third-quarter outlook. American Airlines expects Q3 adjusted EPS to range from a loss of $0.70 to a loss of $0.10, significantly below Wall Street expectations, even as revenue is projected to rise 16% to 19% year over year.

Wall Street remains largely bullish on American Airlines, with AAL carrying a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating. Of the 24 analysts covering the stock, 12 recommend a "Strong Buy," 11 favor a "Moderate Buy," and just one rates it a "Strong Sell." The optimism is reflected in the price targets, too. The $18.93 average target implies 34.5% upside, while the Street-high target of $25 points to a potential 77.7% gain from current levels.

<em> On the date of publication, Anushka Mukherji did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on </em>

来源: Barchart

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